Saturday, July 16, 2016

Ergodan And The Coup That Failed...Or Did it?

As it appears that the coup in Turkey has failed at that can only mean that Ergodan will become the unchallenged dictator of Turkey and its transformation into an unrestrained Islamic state will only move more quickly.  The fate of those officers and soldiers involved I have no doubt will share the fate of Hitler's SA on the night of the long knives.

The dangers Ergodan will now present are obvious. Turkey is already inside the military structures of NATO and possesses the second largest Army in NATO.  It is no particular secret that Ergodan's differences with ISIs are not religious or philosophical but purely political.  Ergodan is just as much a revanchist for the past power of the Ottoman Empire as Putin is for the lost Russian Empire. And they both blame the West for the loss.

The realities of past conflicts between the Ottoman and Russian Empires aside, Ergodan's desire for Turkey as an Islamic state is to restore it as the seat of the Califate and both ISIS and Basher Assad stand in the way of that goal.

That if Ergodan successfully cements his power he will no doubt increase his blackmail leverage against the EU with a renewed flood of refugees is beyond doubt. What is in doubt is the EU resolve. Will they defy Ergodan and find a way to turn back the flood or will they take cowards way out and simply finance Ergodan's imperial ambitions that can only lead more conflict in that most troubled region.

That the bureaucrats in Brussels would think that Ergodan can be trusted is perhaps the biggest fool's errand since Neville Chamberlain signed the Munich Accords in 1938. All of Europe would be well served to remember Winston Churchill's comment after returning to London and claiming to have secured "Peace in our time." Sadly I doubt they will: "You were given the choice between war and dishonor. You chose dishonor and you will have war." They will be like the man who feeds the tiger, hoping it will not eat him.

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