Tuesday, January 28, 2020

Outbreak! It's More Than Just Germs.

This flu virus outbreak ctisis in China is far from over and it's not going to be just a public health crisis, although that's going to be a major element. Watch Africa. Chinese penetration into Africa is massive. If the virus has been transmitted there and if the R0 transmission rate goes above three, given  the appaling lack of health care, urban centers in sub sahara Africa could well be devastated.

Recall also what Mark Twain said about history rhyming. In the 1960's China was in the midst of launching an invasion of India when a massive crop failure forced them to retreat for fear of food riots and an insurection that could have toppled the government. Now in the midst of a geopolitical expansion they are faced with both a contracting economic picture and a potential pandemic disease outbreak that could lead to civil unrest that could again threaten to destabilize or topple the government. This is the last thing the polit-bureau needs piled on top of their concerns about the unrest in Hong Kong spreading to the mainland.

This shit has all the potential to get really ugly really fast. Just where things progress from here only time will tell.  Look for neighboring countries to follow North Korea's example in closing their borders and halting air traffic to and from China.



Monday, January 13, 2020

Portlandia Goes Nuts Taxing Jobs And Success

Just as in Seattle when they mandated a $15 min. wage and businesses moved outside the city limits. The same will happen in Portlandia. Who will this hurt? All the low income families that work at Walmart etc. who now will face either having to find new jobs or longer more expensive commutes. The other unintended consequences will of course be retail shoppers facing longer drives to these store will simply turn to Amazon (another of those mega corporations they seem to love to hate) and other home delivery services further accelerating the destruction of brick and mortar stores and consequently depriving the city of jobs, sales tax, real estate tax and business license revenue. The added impact of this will be the deterioration of local neighborhoods that patronize these smaller business that also provide local entry level jobs.
This is quite predictably what happens when idiot leftists legislate on the basis of emotion rather than reason and basic math.